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HIV prevalence and lifetime risk of dying of AIDS

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dc.contributor.authorBlacker, Johnen_US
dc.contributor.authorZaba, Basiaen_US
dc.contributor.editorAwusabo-Asare, Kofien_US
dc.contributor.editorPisani, Elisabethen_US
dc.contributor.editorBoerma, J. Tiesen_US
dc.contributor.editorZaba, Basia
dc.date.accessioned2003-03-12en_US
dc.date.accessioned2004-05-19T14:50:07Zen_US
dc.date.accessioned2011-01-05T08:36:09Z
dc.date.available2004-05-19T14:50:07Zen_US
dc.date.available2011-01-05T08:36:09Z
dc.date.created1997en_US
dc.date.issued1997en_US
dc.description.abstractThe paper examines the relationship between the lifetime risk of dying from AIDS and HIV prevalence, using a female stable population model in which the epidemic has stabilized. In addition to prevalence, lifetime risk is determined by various other factors, notably the level of mortality from causes other than AIDS, age at infection, and survival time between infection and death. Typically, the lifetime risk of dying from AIDS is between three and five times the HIV prevalence. Regression equations are developed for estimating lifetime risk from the prevalence and other parameters. The methods are applied to data for Kenya, and it is shown that the 1995 prevalence estimate of 7.5 per cent for the population aged 15 and over would be equivalent to a lifetime risk of about 30 per cent.en_US
dc.format.extent157364 bytesen_US
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/41180en_US
dc.language.isoen_AUen_US
dc.publisherHealth Transition Centre, National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, The Australian National Universityen_US
dc.subjectKenyaen_US
dc.subjectHIV/AIDSen_US
dc.subjectepidemiologyen_US
dc.subjectmortalityen_US
dc.subjectfertilityen_US
dc.subjectchild risken_US
dc.subjectadult risken_US
dc.titleHIV prevalence and lifetime risk of dying of AIDSen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
local.description.refereednoen_US
local.identifier.citationnumbersupp.2en_US
local.identifier.citationpages45-62en_US
local.identifier.citationpublicationHealth Transition Reviewen_US
local.identifier.citationvolume7en_US
local.identifier.citationyear1997en_US
local.identifier.eprintid940en_US
local.rights.ispublishedyesen_US

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