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Democracy, interdependence, international organizations and Asian security debates

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Goldsmith, Benjamin E

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Drawing on recent liberal peace and Asian security research, this article assesses the relevance of prominent “Kantian” hypotheses for understanding the international politics of Asia. While many regional analysts’ expectations about the general efficacy of international organizations for reducing conflict in Asia are confirmed, specific assertions about ASEAN and other well-known organizations do not find strong support. Although the role of regime type is often ignored in discussions of international security in Asia, there is qualified evidence for a democratic peace effect in Asia. The third leg of the Kantian triangle, international economic interdependence, does not seem consistently important for reducing conflict in Asia, even though there is a high level of trade interdependence among Asian states. In fact, higher levels of trade with China tend to increase conflict among Asian dyads including China. Asian states’ relations with states outside the region conform well to liberal expectations. While the findings support the idea that Asia is to some extent “different,” they also show that general Kantian and realist theories are relevant, and that common assumptions of specialists on the region are not always in accord with the regularities of conflict and peace in Asia.

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