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Australia's Cash Economy: Are the Estimates Credible?

dc.contributor.authorBreusch, Trevor
dc.date.accessioned2015-12-10T22:14:12Z
dc.date.issued2005
dc.date.updated2015-12-09T08:05:15Z
dc.description.abstractThe method of 'excess sensitivity' of Bajada (1999, 2000, 2001) indicates a large underground economy in Australia, with estimates of unrecorded income approximately 15 per cent of official gross domestic product. These estimates concern policy-makers, especially those agencies responsible for national accounts, tax collection, economic stabilisation and law enforcement. We show that the method exhibits a severe form of non-robustness, in which the results change markedly with a simple change in the units of measurement of the variables. There is a separate problem in which a key parameter is set to an unrealistic value that makes the estimates many times too high.
dc.identifier.issn0013-0249
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/50180
dc.publisherBlackwell Publishing Ltd
dc.sourceThe Economic Record
dc.subjectKeywords: econometrics; economic geography; estimation method; Gross Domestic Product; income; national economy; sensitivity analysis; Australasia; Australia
dc.titleAustralia's Cash Economy: Are the Estimates Credible?
dc.typeJournal article
local.bibliographicCitation.issue255
local.bibliographicCitation.lastpage403
local.bibliographicCitation.startpage394
local.contributor.affiliationBreusch, Trevor, College of Business and Economics, ANU
local.contributor.authoruidBreusch, Trevor, u8600328
local.description.embargo2037-12-31
local.description.notesImported from ARIES
local.description.refereedYes
local.identifier.absfor140215 - Public Economics- Taxation and Revenue
local.identifier.ariespublicationMigratedxPub199
local.identifier.citationvolume81
local.identifier.doi10.1111/j.1475-4932.2005.00277.x
local.identifier.scopusID2-s2.0-33745278564
local.type.statusPublished Version

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