Interval and band estimation for curves with jumps

Abstract

Jump points in curves arise when the conditions under which data are generated change suddenly, for example because of an unplanned change in a treatment. This paper suggests bootstrap methods for quantifying the error in estimates of jump points, and for constructing confidence intervals for jump points and confidence bands for the curve. These problems have the unusual feature that the sampling error of the jump-point estimator often has a highly non-normal distribution, which depends intimately on the distribution of regression errors. The methods are illustrated by a simulation study as well as by an application to data on the annual flow volume of the Nile river. Show more