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Are third world emigration forces abating?

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dc.contributor.authorHatton, Timothy
dc.contributor.authorWilliamson, Jeffrey G
dc.date.accessioned2015-12-10T23:16:17Z
dc.date.issued2011
dc.date.updated2016-02-24T08:08:18Z
dc.description.abstractMost observers appear to believe that Third World emigration pressure is on the rise. But history suggests that migration typically follows a bell shape, in which case it might be entering on the downward phase. This paper estimates the economic and demographic fundamentals driving emigration from the developing world to the United States since 1970. The results suggest that emigration pressure, determined largely by source country demographics, education, poverty, and migrant stock dynamics, has recently been abating. Projections into the future suggest that it may even decline, and that its composition will become much more African and much less Hispanic.
dc.identifier.issn0305-750X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/64995
dc.publisherPergamon-Elsevier Ltd
dc.sourceWorld Development
dc.subjectKeywords: demography; developing world; education; emigration; future prospect; life cycle analysis; United States Development; Emigration; Life cycle; Third World
dc.titleAre third world emigration forces abating?
dc.typeJournal article
local.bibliographicCitation.issue1
local.bibliographicCitation.lastpage32
local.bibliographicCitation.startpage20
local.contributor.affiliationHatton, Timothy, College of Business and Economics, ANU
local.contributor.affiliationWilliamson, Jeffrey G, Harvard University
local.contributor.authoruidHatton, Timothy, u4119095
local.description.embargo2037-12-31
local.description.notesImported from ARIES
local.identifier.absfor140203 - Economic History
local.identifier.absfor140218 - Urban and Regional Economics
local.identifier.absseo940111 - Ethnicity, Multiculturalism and Migrant Development and Welfare
local.identifier.ariespublicationf2965xPUB1034
local.identifier.citationvolume39
local.identifier.doi10.1016/j.worlddev.2010.05.006
local.identifier.scopusID2-s2.0-78149498780
local.type.statusPublished Version

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