A model of the world's wine markets

Abstract

This paper describes the theoretical and empirical structure of the World Multisectoral Wine Model, which uses some of the features of general equilibrium models. The model is disaggregated into the expanding premium and shrinking non-premium segments of the wine market. To illustrate its usefulness, we model the impact on the global market of the projected rapid premium supply expansion in New World wine production to 2005. The results show supply-induced falls in producer prices of New World producers are dampened or even reversed in the projection period by a growing consumer preference globally for premium wine. Show more