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Abrupt Changes: The Archilles heels of the Earth System

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Authors

Steffen, Will
Andreae, Meinrat O
Bolin, Bert
Crutzen, Paul J
Cox, Peter M
Cubasch, Ulrich
Held, Hermann
Scholes, Robert J (Bob)
Talaue-McManus, Liana

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Heldref Publications

Abstract

Records from the past show that abrupt global change is the norm, not the exception, in the Earth System. Many recent changes-such as the globalization of the world's economy and the formation of the ozone hole over Antarctica-appear rapid even from the perspective of a single lifetime. What do we now know about the nature of abrupt changes in the Earth System and the probability that human actions could trigger them?

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Environment: science and policy for sustainable development

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2037-12-31