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Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis

dc.contributor.authorHomer-Dixon, Thomas
dc.contributor.authorWalker, Brian
dc.contributor.authorBiggs, Reinette
dc.contributor.authorCrepin, Anne-Sophie
dc.contributor.authorFolke, Carl
dc.contributor.authorLambin, Eric F
dc.contributor.authorPeterson, Garry
dc.contributor.authorRockstrom, Johan
dc.contributor.authorScheffer, Marten
dc.contributor.authorSteffen, Will
dc.contributor.authorTroell, Max
dc.date.accessioned2016-02-24T22:41:58Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.date.updated2016-02-24T10:49:53Z
dc.description.abstractRecent global crises reveal an emerging pattern of causation that could increasingly characterize the birth and progress of future global crises. A conceptual framework identifies this pattern’s deep causes, intermediate processes, and ultimate outcomes. The framework shows how multiple stresses can interact within a single social-ecological system to cause a shift in that system’s behavior, how simultaneous shifts of this kind in several largely discrete social-ecological systems can interact to cause a far larger intersystemic crisis, and how such a larger crisis can then rapidly propagate across multiple system boundaries to the global scale. Case studies of the 2008-2009 financial-energy and food-energy crises illustrate the framework. Suggestions are offered for future research to explore further the framework’s propositions.
dc.identifier.issn1708-3087
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/98880
dc.publisherResilience Alliance
dc.rightsAuthor/s retain copyrighten_AU
dc.sourceEcology and Society
dc.titleSynchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis
dc.typeJournal article
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_AU
local.bibliographicCitation.issue3
local.bibliographicCitation.startpage6
local.contributor.affiliationHomer-Dixon, Thomas, University of Waterloo
local.contributor.affiliationWalker, Brian, CSIRO
local.contributor.affiliationBiggs, Reinette, Stockholm University
local.contributor.affiliationCrepin, Anne-Sophie, Stockholm University
local.contributor.affiliationFolke, Carl, Stockholm University
local.contributor.affiliationLambin, Eric F, Catholic University of Louvain
local.contributor.affiliationPeterson, Garry, Stockholm University
local.contributor.affiliationRockstrom, Johan, Stockholm University
local.contributor.affiliationScheffer, Marten, Wageningen University
local.contributor.affiliationSteffen, Will, College of Medicine, Biology and Environment, ANU
local.contributor.affiliationTroell, Max, Stockholm University
local.contributor.authoremailu4279891@anu.edu.au
local.contributor.authoruidSteffen, Will, u4279891
local.description.notesImported from ARIES
local.identifier.absfor040600 - PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY AND ENVIRONMENTAL GEOSCIENCE
local.identifier.absseo960300 - CLIMATE AND CLIMATE CHANGE
local.identifier.ariespublicationu4279067xPUB1530
local.identifier.citationvolume20
local.identifier.doi10.5751/ES-07681-200306
local.identifier.scopusID2-s2.0-84943146092
local.identifier.uidSubmittedByu4279067
local.type.statusPublished Version

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