The Future of Ecosystem Services in Asia and the Pacific
Date
2016-07-28
Authors
Kubiszewski, Ida
Anderson, Sharolyn J.
Costanza, Robert
Sutton, Paul C.
Journal Title
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Publisher
Wiley Open Access
Abstract
We estimated the current value of ecosystem
services for terrestrial ecosystems in 47
countries in the Asia and the Pacific region.
Currently, these provide $US14 trillion/yr. in
benefits, most of which are non-marketed
and do not show up in GDP. We also estimated
the changes in terrestrial ecosystem
services value for scenarios to the year
2050, built around the four Great Transition
Initiative archetypes: (1) Market Forces
(MF); (2) Fortress World (FW); (3) Policy
Reform (PR); and (4) Great Transition
(GT). Results show that under the MF and
FW scenarios the ecosystem services value
in the region continues to decline from $14
trillion/yr in 2011 to $11 and $9 trillion/yr
in 2050, respectively. In the PR scenario,
the value is maintained around $14
Trillion/yr in 2050 and in the GT scenario
it is significantly restored to $17 Trillion/yr.
We also show more detailed maps and results
for 8 selected countries in the region
(Bhutan, China, India, Philippines, Thailand,
Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam) and compare our
results with a previous national study of
Bhutan. Our results indicate that adopting a set of policies like those assumed in the
GT scenario would greatly enhance human
wellbeing and sustainability in the region.
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Keywords
Ecosystem Services, Scenario Planning, Sustainable Development, WellBeing, Ecosystem service mapping
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Source
Asia & the Pacific Policy Studies
Type
Journal article
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Open Access
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