Planetary Epidemiology: Towards First Principles

Abstract

To combine evolutionary principles of competition and co-operation with limits to growth models, generating six principles for a new sub-discipline, called “planetary epidemiology.” Suggestions are made for how to quantify four principles. Climate change is one of a suite of threats increasingly being re-discovered by health workers as a major threat to civilization. Although “planetary health” is now in vogue, neither it nor its allied sub-disciplines have, as yet, had significant impact on epidemiology. Few if any theorists have sought to develop principles for Earth system human epidemiology, in its ecological, social, and technological milieu. Theprinciplesofplanetaryepidemiologydescribedherecanbeusedtostimulateapplied,quantitativeworktoexplore past, contemporary, and future populationhealth, at scales from local to planetary, in order to promote enduringhealth. It is also proposed that global well-being will decline this century, without radical reform. Show more