Stochastic modelling of the hybrid survival curve
| dc.contributor.author | Tan, Chong It | |
| dc.contributor.author | Li, Jackie | |
| dc.contributor.author | Li, Johnny Siu-Hang | |
| dc.contributor.author | Balasooriya, Uditha | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2016-10-06T03:52:12Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2016-10-06T03:52:12Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2016-05-03 | |
| dc.description.abstract | In this paper, building upon the idea of cross-sectional survival probabilities developed by Brouard (Espaces Popul Soc 2(14–15):157–168, 1986), we propose using stochastic models to study the evolution of a new type of survival curves called hybrid survival curve. We find that the three-factor survival model provides a better model fitting than the two-factor survival model. Furthermore, the three time-varying parameters are highly interpretable and their respective trends can be used as an indicator for the rectangularisation of survival curve. On top of that, we demonstrate how the time-varying parameters can be extrapolated into the future to obtain projected hybrid survival curves. | en_AU |
| dc.identifier.issn | 1443-2447 | en_AU |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/1885/109169 | |
| dc.provenance | http://www.sherpa.ac.uk/romeo/issn/1443-2447/..."Author's post-print on any open access repository after 12 months after publication" from SHERPA/RoMEO site (as at 7/10/16). The final publication is available at Springer via http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12546-016-9168-x. | |
| dc.publisher | Springer Verlag | en_AU |
| dc.rights | © 2016 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. | en_AU |
| dc.source | Journal of Population Research | en_AU |
| dc.subject | Period survival curves | en_AU |
| dc.subject | Cohort survival curves | en_AU |
| dc.subject | Rectangularisation | en_AU |
| dc.subject | Stochastic models | en_AU |
| dc.subject | Time-varying parameters | en_AU |
| dc.title | Stochastic modelling of the hybrid survival curve | en_AU |
| dc.type | Journal article | en_AU |
| dcterms.accessRights | Open Access | |
| local.contributor.affiliation | Tan, Chong It, The Australian National University | en_AU |
| local.contributor.authoruid | U1007386 | en_AU |
| local.identifier.doi | 10.1007/s12546-016-9168-x | en_AU |
| local.publisher.url | http://link.springer.com/ | en_AU |
| local.type.status | Accepted Version | en_AU |