Cultural advice

The Australian National University acknowledges, celebrates and pays our respects to the Ngunnawal and Ngambri people of the Canberra region and to all First Nations Australians on whose traditional lands we meet and work, and whose cultures are among the oldest continuing cultures in human history.

Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples are advised that ANU Library collections may include images, names, voices, and other representations of deceased persons.

Material in the collection may contain terms, language or views that reflect the period in which the item was created and may be considered inappropriate today.

Integrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model

Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorAbel, Guy J.
dc.contributor.authorBijak, Jakub
dc.contributor.authorForster, Jonathon J.
dc.contributor.authorRaymer, James
dc.contributor.authorSmith, Peter W. F.
dc.contributor.authorWong, Jackie S. T.
dc.date.accessioned2015-12-10T23:04:27Z
dc.date.issued2013
dc.date.updated2015-12-10T08:45:16Z
dc.description.abstractBackground: Population forecasts are widely used for public policy purposes. Methods to quantify the uncertainty in forecasts tend to ignore model uncertainty and to be based on a single model. Objective: In this paper, we use Bayesian time series models
dc.identifier.issn1435-9871
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/62380
dc.publisherMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research
dc.rightsAuthor/s retain copyrighten_AU
dc.sourceDemographic Research
dc.titleIntegrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model
dc.typeJournal article
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_AU
local.bibliographicCitation.issue43
local.bibliographicCitation.lastpage1226
local.bibliographicCitation.startpage1181
local.contributor.affiliationAbel, Guy J, Vienna Institute of Demography
local.contributor.affiliationBijak, Jakub, University of Southampton
local.contributor.affiliationForster, Jonathon J, University of Southampton
local.contributor.affiliationRaymer, James, College of Arts and Social Sciences, ANU
local.contributor.affiliationSmith, Peter WF, University of Southampton
local.contributor.affiliationWong, Jackie S.T., University of Southampton
local.contributor.authoruidRaymer, James, u5243136
local.description.notesImported from ARIES
local.identifier.absfor160399 - Demography not elsewhere classified
local.identifier.absfor010406 - Stochastic Analysis and Modelling
local.identifier.absfor140305 - Time-Series Analysis
local.identifier.absseo910102 - Demography
local.identifier.ariespublicationu9406909xPUB693
local.identifier.citationvolume29
local.identifier.doi10.4054/DemRes.2013.29.43.
local.identifier.scopusID2-s2.0-84920507077
local.type.statusPublished Version

Downloads

Original bundle

Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Thumbnail Image
Name:
01_Abel_Integrating_uncertainty_in_2013.pdf
Size:
3.23 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Download

Collections

ANU Research Publications

DSpace software copyright © 2002-2026 LYRASIS