Inter-annual rainfall variations and suicide in New South Wales, Australia, 1964-2001
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Nicholls, Neville
Butler, Colin
Hanigan, Ivan
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Springer
Abstract
The suicide rate in New South Wales is shown to be related to annual precipitation, supporting a widespread and long-held assumption that drought in Australia increases the likelihood of suicide. The relationship, although statistically significant, is not especially strong and is confounded by strong, long-term variations in the suicide rate not related to precipitation variations. A decrease in precipitation of about 300 mm would lead to an increase in the suicide rate of approximately 8% of the long-term mean suicide rate.
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International Journal of Biometeorology
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2037-12-31
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