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The missing link: using the NBER recession indicator to construct coincident and leading indices of economic activity

dc.contributor.authorVahid, Farshid
dc.contributor.authorIssler, Joao
dc.date.accessioned2015-12-07T22:49:39Z
dc.date.issued2006
dc.date.updated2015-12-07T12:10:52Z
dc.description.abstractWe use the information content in the decisions of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee to construct coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the United States. We identify the coincident index by assuming that the coincident variables
dc.identifier.issn0304-4076
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/26860
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.sourceJournal of Econometrics
dc.subjectKeywords: Industrial economics; Information theory; Mathematical models; Business cycle; Canonical correlation; Coincident and leading indicators; Encompassing; Instrumental variable probit; Economics Business cycle; Canonical correlation; Coincident and leading indicators; Encompassing; Instrumental variable probit
dc.titleThe missing link: using the NBER recession indicator to construct coincident and leading indices of economic activity
dc.typeJournal article
local.bibliographicCitation.issue1
local.bibliographicCitation.lastpage303
local.bibliographicCitation.startpage281
local.contributor.affiliationVahid, Farshid, College of Business and Economics, ANU
local.contributor.affiliationIssler, Joao, Getullio Vargas Foundation
local.contributor.authoruidVahid, Farshid, u4137903
local.description.embargo2037-12-31
local.description.notesImported from ARIES
local.identifier.absfor140303 - Economic Models and Forecasting
local.identifier.ariespublicationu4441299xPUB47
local.identifier.citationvolume132
local.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jeconom.2005.01.031
local.identifier.scopusID2-s2.0-33646151418
local.type.statusPublished Version

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