Fuel prices and road accident outcomes in New Zealand

Date

2019

Authors

Best, Rohan
Burke, Paul

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

New Zealand Economic Papers

Abstract

Recent years have seen a spike in New Zealand’s road death toll, a phenomenon also seen in some other countries such as Australia. This paper analyses the short-run impact of fuel prices on road accident outcomes in New Zealand, including the numbers of road deaths, accidents, and injuries. Using data for the period 1989–2017, we find a negative relationship between fuel prices and key road-risk outcome variables, including the number of road deaths. There are similar results for models in levels and first differences. The number of serious injuries to cyclists tends to increase when fuel prices are high, however. Lower fuel prices appear to have contributed to New Zealand’s recent uptick in road accidents, pushing against the long-term trend of improved road safety.

Description

Keywords

Fuel price, Road accident death, Road accident injury

Citation

Best, Rohan and Burke, Paul J. 2019. ‘Fuel prices and road accident outcomes in New Zealand.’ New Zealand Economic Papers 53(2), 109–124.

Source

New Zealand Economic Papers

Type

Journal article

Book Title

Entity type

Access Statement

Open Access

License Rights

Restricted until

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