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Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene

Steffen, Will; Rockström, Johan; Richardson, Katherine; Lenton, Timothy M; Folke, Carl; Liverman, Diana; Summerhayes, Colin P; Barnosky, Anthony D; Cornell, Sarah E; Crucifix, Michel; Donges, Jonathan F; Fetzer, Ingo; Lade, Steven J; Scheffer, Marten; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim


We explore the risk that self-reinforcing feedbacks could push the Earth System toward a planetary threshold that, if crossed, could prevent stabilization of the climate at intermediate temperature rises and cause continued warming on a "Hothouse Earth" pathway even as human emissions are reduced. Crossing the threshold would lead to a much higher global average temperature than any interglacial in the past 1.2 million years and to sea levels significantly higher than at any time in the...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2018
Type: Journal article
Source: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1810141115


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