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Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world

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dc.contributor.authorCologna, Viktoriaen
dc.contributor.authorMeiler, Simonaen
dc.contributor.authorKropf, Chahan M.en
dc.contributor.authorLüthi, Samuelen
dc.contributor.authorMede, Niels G.en
dc.contributor.authorBresch, David N.en
dc.contributor.authorLecuona, Oscaren
dc.contributor.authorBerger, Sebastianen
dc.contributor.authorBesley, Johnen
dc.contributor.authorBrick, Cameronen
dc.contributor.authorJoubert, Marinaen
dc.contributor.authorMaibach, Edward W.en
dc.contributor.authorMihelj, Sabinaen
dc.contributor.authorOreskes, Naomien
dc.contributor.authorSchäfer, Mike S.en
dc.contributor.authorLinden, Sander van deren
dc.contributor.authorZenklusen, Amberen
dc.contributor.authorZegler-Poleska, Ewaen
dc.contributor.authorXie, Jinliangen
dc.contributor.authorXia, Ziqianen
dc.contributor.authorWojcik, Adrian Dominiken
dc.contributor.authorWestfal, Mareikeen
dc.contributor.authorWeninger, Timen
dc.contributor.authorWarwas, Izabelaen
dc.contributor.authorBubnoff, Andreas vonen
dc.contributor.authorVlasceanu, Madalinaen
dc.contributor.authorVilares, Irisen
dc.contributor.authorNoord, Jochem vanen
dc.contributor.authorUzoma, Ijeoma Chinween
dc.contributor.authorUluğ, Özden Melisen
dc.contributor.authorTyrala, Michaelen
dc.contributor.authorTsakiris, Manosen
dc.contributor.authorToribio-Florez, Danielen
dc.contributor.authorTokrri, Renataen
dc.contributor.authorToko, Abdoul Kafiden
dc.contributor.authorTodorova, Boryanaen
dc.contributor.authorTeran-Escobar, Claudiaen
dc.contributor.authorTanaka, Mikihitoen
dc.contributor.authorSzumowska, Ewaen
dc.contributor.authorSzaszi, Barnabasen
dc.contributor.authorSyropoulos, Stylianosen
dc.contributor.authorStrahm, Noelen
dc.contributor.authorStanley, Samantha K.en
dc.contributor.authorSpruyt, Bramen
dc.contributor.authorSpäth, Leonharden
dc.contributor.authorSolak, Nevinen
dc.contributor.authorNewman, Eryn J.en
dc.contributor.authorLöschel, Andreasen
dc.contributor.authorLeviston, Zoeen
dc.contributor.authorDouglas, Karen M.en
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-19T18:42:22Z
dc.date.available2026-06-19T18:42:22Z
dc.date.issued2025en
dc.description.abstractExtreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Yet, little is known about the relationship between exposure to extreme events, subjective attribution of these events to climate change, and climate policy support, especially in the Global South. Combining large-scale natural and social science data from 68 countries (N = 71,922), we develop a measure of exposed population to extreme weather events and investigate whether exposure to extreme weather and subjective attribution of extreme weather to climate change predict climate policy support. We find that most people support climate policies and link extreme weather events to climate change. Subjective attribution of extreme weather was positively associated with policy support for five widely discussed climate policies. However, exposure to most types of extreme weather event did not predict policy support. Overall, these results suggest that subjective attribution could facilitate climate policy support.en
dc.description.sponsorshipWe thank H. Karami (University of Zurich) for managing the author list. I.R. and C.T.-E. were supported by ANR PICS; A.F.-B. was supported by Aarhus University Research Foundation grant AUFF-E-2019-9-13; P.M. was supported by Aarhus University Research Foundation grant AUFF-E-2019-9-2; R. Bardhan was supported by Africa Albarado Fund, Cambridge Africa ESRC GCRF, and UKRI ODA International Partnership Fund; J.P. Reynolds was supported by Aston University, and UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) under the UK government’s Horizon Europe funding guarantee EP/X042758/1; N.L. and R.M.R. were supported by Australian Research Council grant DP180102384, and John Templeton Foundation grant number 62631; O. Ghasemi was supported by Australian Research Council grant DP190101675; U.K.H.E. was supported by Australian Research Council grant FT190100708; D.D., A.G., D.G. and E.K. were supported by the Basic Research grant from the College of Social Sciences, Kimep University; E.B., P.K. and A.Z. were supported by SNSF (VAR-EXP); O. Białobrzeska and M. Parzuchowski were supported by SWPS University; M.E. was supported by a School of Economics Interdisciplinary funding at University of Birmingham; C.A.J. and C.H.L. were supported by the School of Geography, Planning and Spatial Sciences, University of Tasmania; and the Centre for Marine Socioecology, University of Tasmania; E.J.N. and S.K.S. were supported by the School of Medicine and Psychology, Australian National University; M.D.M. was supported by School of Psychology and Public Health Internal Grant Scheme 2022; I.A. was supported by the School of Psychology, University of Sheffield; Beasiswa Pendidikan Indonesia Kemendikbudristek - LPDP provided by Balai Pembiayaan Pendidikan Tinggi (BPPT) Kemdikbudristek and LPDP Indonesia; R. Bhui was supported by the Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; O. Buchel was supported by Slovak Research and Development Agency (APVV), contract number APVV-22-0242; N.M.L. was supported by Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council grant number 430-2022-00711; M.P.-C. was supported by Statutory Funds from University of Silesia in Katowice; A.C.V. and L. Kojan were supported by OptimAgent (German Federal Ministry of Education and Research, Funding Code: 031L0299D) and the University of Lübeck; P.P. was supported by Swedish Research Council grant 2020-02584; L.S. was supported by Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDC) grant 7F09521; S.B. was supported by the Swiss Federal Office of Energy (SI/502093–01); J.L.G. was supported by Swiss National Science Foundation PRIMA Grant PR00P1_193128; V.C. was supported by Swiss National Science Foundation Postdoc Mobility Fellowship P500PS_202935, Harvard University Faculty Development Fund, and SPEED2ZERO Joint Initiative that received support from the ETH Board under the Joint Initiatives scheme; E.W.M. was supported by The HELTS Foundation; G.R. was supported by The São Paulo Research Foundation – FAPESP grant 2019/26665-5, and CNPq - INCT (National Institute of Science and Technology on Social and Affective Neuroscience, grant number 406463/2022-0); M. Facciani and T.W. were supported by USAID; F.M.-R. was supported by Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia; D.A. was supported by Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Kalijaga; S.J. and S.J.M. were supported by the University of Bamberg; J.M.M. was supported by the University of Delaware; M.D. and I.W. were supported by the University of Lodz; A. Koivula and P.R. were supported by the University of Turku; M.B. and P.H. were supported by the University of Warsaw; A.P. and E.Z.-P. were supported by the University of Warsaw under the Priority Research Area V of the ‘Excellence Initiative – Research University’ programme; M.S.S. was supported by the University of Zurich/IMKZ; T. Ostermann and J.P. Röer were supported by the University research budget; A. Bajrami and R.T. were supported by University ‘Aleksandër Moisiu’, Durrës; S. Schulreich was supported by Universität Hamburg; L.S.K. was supported by the Victoria University of Wellington; H.K. was supported by Zhangir Kabdulkair Research Program at the National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE University); R.D. was supported by Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation grant OPP1144, a Cambridge Humanities Research Grant, CRASSH grant fund for climaTRACES lab, the Keynes Fund, the UKRI ODA International Partnership Fund, and the Quadrature Climate Foundation; T.C. and M.M. were supported by Boston University (Startup Funds); F.A. was supported by CNPq - INCT (National Institute of Science and Technology on Social and Affective Neuroscience, grant number 406463/2022-0); K.C.D. was supported by a COVID-19 Rapid Response grant from the University of Vienna, and Austrian Science Fund grant FWF I3381; C.L., J.P.N., E.P. and B.T. were supported by a COVID-19 Rapid Response grant from the University of Vienna, and Austrian Science Fund grants FWF I3381 and W1262-B29; R.M.A. was supported by Caltech RSI; C. Farhart was supported by Carleton College; C.L.-V. was supported by Cayetano Heredia University; H.H. and S. Kristiansen were supported by the Center for Climate and Energy Transformation, University of Bergen, Norway; C.G.B. and A.C.H.-M. were supported by Conacyt grant A1S9013; O.K. was supported by a Concerted Research Action grant from the Fédération Wallonie-Bruxelles (Belgium) (‘The Socio-Cognitive Impact of Literacy’); J.S. was supported by Core ETHZ funding and Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDC) grant 7F09521; E.A. was supported by Department of Economics, University of Warwick; H.G. was supported by the Department of Psychology, University of Sheffield; C.D. and F.G.R. were supported by Deutsche Forschungsgesellschaft grant RE 4752/1-1, and the David and Claudia Harding Foundation; I.M.A. was supported by the EDCTP2 Programme (TMA2020CDF-3171), and BMGF (INV075699); K.M.D. was supported by European Research Council Advanced Grant ‘Consequences of conspiracy theories - CONSPIRACY_FX’ grant 101018262; J.R. was supported by European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme under grant agreement number 101006436 (GlobalSCAPE); S. Meiler, C.M.K. and S.L. were supported by European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program grant agreement numbers 820712 (PROVIDE), 101073978 (DIRECTED) and 101081369 (SPARCCLE); G.H. was supported by Faculty Research Grant of City University of Hong Kong grant PJ9618021; O.S. and R.R.S. were supported by Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, UIDB/04295/2020 and UIDP/04295/2020; E.G. was supported by Government of Alberta Major Innovation Fund grant RES0049213; J.N. was supported by HELTS Foundation (USA); K. Breeden was supported by Harvey Mudd College; T.K.R. and K. Pštross were supported by the Institute of Communication Studies and Journalism, Charles University; H.F. was supported by Internal project costs IWM; M. Tanaka was supported by JST-RISTEX ELSI grant number JPMJRX20J3, and the Hitachi Fund Support for Research Related to Infectious Diseases; G.C. and E. Szumowska were supported by Jagiellonian University; M. Alfano and M. Ferreira were supported by John Templeton Foundation number 61378, John Templeton Foundation grant number 62631, and Australian Research Council DP1901015077; A. Krouwel was supported by Kieskompas.nl; M. Tsakiris was supported by the NOMIS Foundation; R.M. was supported by NOMIS Foundation/Leverhulme International Professorship Grant LIP-2022-001; T.K., K. Petkanopoulou and J.v.N. were supported by the NORFACE Joint Research Programme on Democratic Governance in a Turbulent Age, NWO, and European Commission through Horizon 2020 grant 822166; A.R. was supported by National Science and Technology Council, Taiwan (ROC) grant 112-2628-H-002-002 and 113-2628-H-002-018-; D.J. and A.D.W. were supported by Nicolaus Copernicus University;en
dc.description.statusPeer-revieweden
dc.format.extent11en
dc.identifier.issn1758-678Xen
dc.identifier.otherORCID:/0000-0001-8663-7173/work/203092332en
dc.identifier.otherORCID:/0000-0002-4969-7916/work/203093010en
dc.identifier.scopus105025036530en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1885/733811621
dc.language.isoenen
dc.provenanceThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons. org/licenses/by/4.0/.en
dc.rights© 2025 The Authorsen
dc.sourceNature Climate Changeen
dc.titleExtreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the worlden
dc.typeJournal articleen
dspace.entity.typePublicationen
local.bibliographicCitation.lastpage735en
local.bibliographicCitation.startpage725en
local.contributor.affiliationCologna, Viktoria; Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurichen
local.contributor.affiliationMeiler, Simona; Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurichen
local.contributor.affiliationKropf, Chahan M.; Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurichen
local.contributor.affiliationLüthi, Samuel; Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurichen
local.contributor.affiliationMede, Niels G.; University of Zurichen
local.contributor.affiliationBresch, David N.; Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurichen
local.contributor.affiliationLecuona, Oscar; Complutense Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationBerger, Sebastian; University of Bernen
local.contributor.affiliationBesley, John; Michigan State Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationBrick, Cameron; University of Amsterdamen
local.contributor.affiliationJoubert, Marina; Stellenbosch Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationMaibach, Edward W.; George Mason Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationMihelj, Sabina; Loughborough Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationOreskes, Naomi; Harvard Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationSchäfer, Mike S.; University of Zurichen
local.contributor.affiliationLinden, Sander van der; University of Cambridgeen
local.contributor.affiliationZenklusen, Amber; University of St. Gallenen
local.contributor.affiliationZegler-Poleska, Ewa; University of Warsawen
local.contributor.affiliationXie, Jinliang; Tsinghua Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationXia, Ziqian; Tongji Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationWojcik, Adrian Dominik; Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruńen
local.contributor.affiliationWestfal, Mareike; Leuphana University of Lüneburgen
local.contributor.affiliationWeninger, Tim; University of Notre Dameen
local.contributor.affiliationWarwas, Izabela; University of Lodzen
local.contributor.affiliationBubnoff, Andreas von; Rhine-Waal University of Applied Sciencesen
local.contributor.affiliationVlasceanu, Madalina; Stanford Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationVilares, Iris; University of Minnesota Twin Citiesen
local.contributor.affiliationNoord, Jochem van; University of Groningenen
local.contributor.affiliationUzoma, Ijeoma Chinwe; University of Nigeriaen
local.contributor.affiliationUluğ, Özden Melis; University of Sussexen
local.contributor.affiliationTyrala, Michael; Hong Kong University of Science and Technologyen
local.contributor.affiliationTsakiris, Manos; Royal Holloway University of Londonen
local.contributor.affiliationToribio-Florez, Daniel; University of Kenten
local.contributor.affiliationTokrri, Renata; University of Tiranaen
local.contributor.affiliationToko, Abdoul Kafid; Mohammed VI Polytechnic Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationTodorova, Boryana; University of Viennaen
local.contributor.affiliationTeran-Escobar, Claudia; Université Paris Nanterreen
local.contributor.affiliationTanaka, Mikihito; Waseda Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationSzumowska, Ewa; Jagiellonian University in Krakówen
local.contributor.affiliationSzaszi, Barnabas; Eötvös Loránd Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationSyropoulos, Stylianos; Arizona State Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationStrahm, Noel; University of Bernen
local.contributor.affiliationStanley, Samantha K.; University of New South Walesen
local.contributor.affiliationSpruyt, Bram; Vrije Universiteit Brusselen
local.contributor.affiliationSpäth, Leonhard; Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurichen
local.contributor.affiliationSolak, Nevin; TED Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationNewman, Eryn J.; School of Medicine and Psychology, ANU College of Science and Medicine, The Australian National Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationLöschel, Andreas; Faculty of Management and Economicsen
local.contributor.affiliationLeviston, Zoe; School of Medicine and Psychology, ANU College of Science and Medicine, The Australian National Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationDouglas, Karen M.; University of Kenten
local.identifier.citationvolume15en
local.identifier.doi10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4en
local.identifier.pure21e91f9d-ca3b-4171-8d0f-129c37ad9b07en
local.identifier.urlhttps://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105025036530en
local.type.statusPublisheden

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