Demographic components of population growth in seven cities of central Java: 1961-1971

Abstract

This thesis presents the results of an attempt to estimate, through the use of demographic analysis, the components of population growth in the seven cities of Central Java having municipal statuses. Special tabulation runs on the 1971 Population Census of Indonesia are the main source of data for the estimates. The average crude birth rates during the period 1961-1971 were obtained by multiplying the 1971 population age distributions by the given age specific fertility rates during the period assuming little change in the age structure. The average crude death rates and crude net migration rates were obtained from the life tables produced by the Brass method, West Model Life Tables and the logit system. The results indicate that the cities experienced mostly net out migration, which in some cases was explained by overspill beyond the official city's boundaries.