The analysis of transient signals and stationary noise
Abstract
It is often the case that statistical techniques designed for stationary
processes are applied to non-stationary data for want of a better alternative.
In this thesis the situation is considered where the data are of the form of
a transient signal observed with additive stationary noise. This covers many
types of data but the main problem considered here is that where a signal is
received at an array of sensors.
A brief coverage of some relevant theory for stationary processes is
given in Chapter 1, together with a description of some earlier work on the
statistical treatment of transients. Chapter 2 contains a discussion of
frequency domain models which are used for estimating the velocity and
direction of a signal received at an array. Some methods of eslimation
in common use are considered.
In Chapter 3 the methods to be used for transient signals are explained.
Estimators of the signal velocity and similar parameters are found both
when the estimation is performed using' a single narrow band of frequencies
and when a broad band is used. In the former case, approximate confidence
intervals are derived in Chapter 3, whilst in the latter case strong
consistency and asymptotic normality of the parameter estimates are proved
in Chapter 4. The methods are illustrated on some earthquake data in Chapter
5, which also contains simulations to test the adequacy of the asymptotic
theory.
In Chapter 6 a strong law of large numbers and a central limit theorem
are proved for a class of statistics obtained from stationary processes.
This class includes an estimate of the prediction variance and several
statistics which are used in tests of fit and which are derived from this estimate.
As a consequence it is shown that these tests may be applied to stationary noise
when a transient is superimposed, without first estimating the transient.
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