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What drives the global official/policy interest rate?

dc.contributor.authorRatti, Ronald A.
dc.contributor.authorVespignani, Joaquin L
dc.date.accessioned2025-03-27T04:51:59Z
dc.date.available2025-03-27T04:51:59Z
dc.date.issued2015-03
dc.description.abstractWe construct a GFAVAR model with newly released global data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas to investigate the drivers of official/policy interest rate. We find that 62% of movement in global official/policy interest rates is attributed to changes in global monetary aggregates (21%), oil prices (18%), global output (15%) and global prices (8%). Global official/policy interest rates respond significantly to increases in global output and prices and oil prices. Increases in global policy interest rates are associated with reductions in global prices and global output. The response in official/policy interest rate for the emerging countries is more to global inflation, for the advanced countries (excluding the U.S.) is more to global output, and for the U.S. is to both global output and inflation.
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1885/733743717
dc.language.isoen_AU
dc.provenanceThe publisher permission to make it open access was granted in November 2024
dc.publisherCrawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University
dc.relation.ispartofseriesCAMA Working Paper 27/2015
dc.rightsAuthor(s) retain copyright
dc.sourceCentre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis Working Papers
dc.source.urihttps://crawford.anu.edu.au
dc.titleWhat drives the global official/policy interest rate?
dc.typeWorking/Technical Paper
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dspace.entity.typePublication
local.bibliographicCitation.issue27/2015
local.type.statusPublished Version

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