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Incorporating relevant multivariate information for characterizing half-life with an application to purchasing power parity

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Wong, Benjamin

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Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University

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Open Access

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Half-lives are summary measures of persistence, and are usually characterized from impulse response functions (IRFs) of univariate time series models. Two issues which occur with half-life characterization in multivariate time series are IRFs become conditional on specific shocks and are often also not uniquely identified. I introduce an approach for characterizing the half-life in multivariate time series models which circumvents both issues. An empirical application suggests the half-life of the real exchange rate estimated from multivariate models is generally longer relative to univariate models.

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Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis Working Papers

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