Raymer, JamesShi, YanlinO'Donnell, JamesBiddle, Nicholas2022-04-212022-04-211728-4414http://hdl.handle.net/1885/264034In this paper, we develop a multistate projection model that allows the AustralianAboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (Indigenous) population to move between areaclassifications and Indigenous self-identification statuses. We combine data fromthe Australian Census Longitudinal Dataset and the 2011 census to estimate thetransitions between 2006 and 2011. This information is then included in a multistatepopulation projection model to illustrate the effects of migration and identificationchange over time in relation to natural increase (i.e., births-deaths). The results showhow patterns of identification change differ by both age and type of migration, andhow migration and identification change affect patterns of Indigenous populationchange across major cities, regional areas, and remote areas in Australia.This research was funded by the Australian Research Council as part of the Linkage Project on ‘Improved Indigenous population projections for policy and planning’ (LP130100735).application/pdfen-AU© 2018 Vienna Institute of Demography201810.1553/populationyearbook2018s1352020-12-27