Miller, Paul W.Volker, Paul AnthonyAustralian National University. Centre for Economic Policy Research2025-07-232025-07-23?09498386670725-430xhttps://hdl.handle.net/1885/733767020The paper is concerned with estimating probability models of occupational attainment at initial and subsequent career points for conncn individuals- It is innovative in two senses. First, by relating subsequent occupations to those of first jobs we can, in the context of multinomial logit specifications, establish patterns of career paths. Our estimates reveal a high degree of occupational mobility. Both initial education level and additional education are important determinants of this mobility. The paper also derives estimates from probability models which take account of a ranking among occupations. These differ substantially from those which eschew such a ranking and cast doubt cxi the findings of much previous research.31 p.en-AUAuthor/s retain copyright1983-03