High-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information

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dc.contributor.authorStern, David
dc.date.accessioned2014-11-14T02:50:35Z
dc.date.available2014-11-14T02:50:35Z
dc.date.issued2014-11-12
dc.date.updated2015-12-08T02:57:51Z
dc.description.abstractDo citations accumulate too slowly in the social sciences to be used to assess the quality of recent articles? I investigate whether this is the case using citation data for all articles in economics and political science published in 2006 and indexed in the Web of Science. I find that citations in the first two years after publication explain more than half of the variation in cumulative citations received over a longer period. Journal impact factors improve the correlation between the predicted and actual future ranks of journal articles when using citation data from 2006 alone but the effect declines sharply thereafter. Finally, more than half of the papers in the top 20% in 2012 were already in the top 20% in the year of publication (2006).
dc.format11 pages
dc.identifier.issn1932-6203
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/12283
dc.publisherPublic Library of Science
dc.rights2014 David Ian Stern. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
dc.sourcePLoS ONE 9(11): e112520. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0112520
dc.source.urihttp://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0112520en_AU
dc.subjecthigh-ranked
dc.subjectsocial science
dc.subjectjournal
dc.subjectarticles
dc.subjectcitation
dc.titleHigh-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information
dc.typeJournal article
local.bibliographicCitation.issue11
local.bibliographicCitation.lastpagee112520 11
local.bibliographicCitation.startpagee112520 1
local.contributor.affiliationStern, David I, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National Universityen_AU
local.contributor.authoremaildavid.stern@anu.edu.auen_AU
local.contributor.authoruidu9615459en_AU
local.identifier.absfor140103 - Mathematical Economics
local.identifier.absseo900201 - Administration and Business Support Services
local.identifier.ariespublicationu5651450xPUB9
local.identifier.citationvolume9
local.identifier.doi10.2139/ssrn.2456107
local.identifier.essn1932-6203en_AU
local.identifier.scopusID2-s2.0-84911465193
local.identifier.uidSubmittedByu9615459en_AU
local.publisher.urlhttp://www.plos.org/en_AU
local.type.statusPublished Versionen_AU

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