Why pay attention to paths in the practice of environmental modelling?

Date

2017

Authors

Lahtinen, Tuomas J.
Guillaume, Joseph
Hamalainen, Raimo P.

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

Pergamon-Elsevier Ltd

Abstract

Taking the ‘path perspective’ helps to understand and improve the practice of environmental modelling and decision making. A path is the sequence of steps taken in a modelling project. The problem solving team faces several forks where alternative choices can be made. These choices determine the path, together with the impact of uncertainties and exogenous effects. This paper discusses phenomena that influence the problem solvers' choices at the forks. Situations are described where it can be desirable to re-direct the path or backtrack on it. Phenomena are identified that can cause the modelling project to get stuck on a poor path. The concept of a path draws attention to the interplay of behavioral phenomena and the sequential nature of modelling processes. This helps understand the overall effect of the behavioral phenomena. A path checklist is developed to help practitioners detect forks and reflect on the path of the modelling project

Description

Keywords

Path dependence, Biases, Behaviour, Decision making, Policy making, Problem solving

Citation

Source

Environmental Modelling and Software

Type

Journal article

Book Title

Entity type

Access Statement

License Rights

Restricted until

2099-12-31