Monetary Policy with a State-Dependent Inflation Target in a Behavioral Two-Country Monetary Union Model

Date

2021

Authors

Proano, Christian R
Lojak, Benjamin

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

Elsevier

Abstract

In this paper we study the implementation of a state-dependent inflation target in a two-country monetary union model characterized by boundedly rational agents. In particular, we use the spread between the actual policy rate (which is constrained by the zero-lower-bound) and the Taylor rate (which can become negative) as a measure for the degree of ineffectiveness of conventional monetary policy as a stabilizing mechanism. The perception of macroeconomic risk by the agents is assumed to vary according to this measure by means of the Brock-Hommes switching mechanism. Our numerical simulations indicate a) that a state-dependent inflation target may lead to a better macroeconomic and inflation stabilization, and b) may even lead to an enlarged fiscal space, i.e. a lower debt-to-GDP ratio if the risk premium's reaction to a higher inflation target is not too large.

Description

Keywords

Monetary Policy, Monetary Unions, Zero Lower Bound, Inflation Targets, Behavioral Macroeconomics

Citation

Source

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control

Type

Journal article

Book Title

Entity type

Access Statement

License Rights

Restricted until

2099-12-31