Citizen Responses to the Global Financial Crisis: A Comparative Study of Participation and Democratic Support
Abstract
The global financial crisis was the greatest economic crisis
since the Great Depression of the 1930s. The crisis, which had
its origins in the United States' housing market crash of 2007,
led to global impacts including rising unemployment and
underemployment, home foreclosures, fewer opportunities for young
people, and a loss of retirement savings. Previous research has
examined the role of economic conditions in influencing various
types of political behaviors and attitudes, however this has
primarily pertained to fluctuations in economic performance
during ordinary times. The magnitude of the recent crisis
presents an unprecedented opportunity to examine how citizen
political engagement in democratic societies is affected by a
major economic shock. This thesis investigates how the global
financial crisis has affected citizen political behavior -
including voting behavior, civic engagement, and political
protest - as well as democratic attitudes.
To investigate the impact of the crisis, the study uses
cross-national survey data fielded before and after the crisis in
countries affected by the crisis to varying degrees. This enables
a comparison both over time and across countries. Data from the
previous two waves of the World Values Survey in 18 democratic
countries is used to investigate the crisis impacts on civic
engagement, political protest, and democratic support, while data
from the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems in 13 countries
facilitates an analysis of electoral behavior. Multilevel
modeling and other quantitative methods are used to assess how
factors at the country and individual level affected citizen
political engagement before and after the crisis hit.
The thesis tests a number of theories regarding the relationship
between economic conditions and political behavior, including
grievances and resources approaches. The analysis finds that
countries harder hit by the crisis were more likely to experience
declines in voter turnout, civic engagement, political protest
and democratic support, suggesting the crisis had a demobilizing
effect on participation. Similarly, at the individual level there
was no evidence of a mobilization amongst those most vulnerable
to the crisis, rather it continued to be those with resources
that were most likely to participate in politics. The study
contributes to our understanding of how economic conditions
influence political attitudes and behaviors, and more broadly
speaks to the political ramifications of major economic shocks.
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