Squandering Australia's food security-The environmental and economic costs of our unhealthy diet and the policy Path We're On

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dc.contributor.authorTurner, Graham Mark
dc.contributor.authorLarsen, Kirsten
dc.contributor.authorCandy, Seona
dc.contributor.authorOgilvy, Sue
dc.contributor.authorAnanthapavan, Jaithri
dc.contributor.authorMoodie, Marjory
dc.contributor.authorJames, Sarah
dc.contributor.authorFriel, Sharon
dc.contributor.authorRyan, Chris
dc.contributor.authorLawrence, Mark
dc.date.accessioned2021-04-15T23:36:39Z
dc.date.issued2018-09-10
dc.date.updated2020-11-23T11:55:03Z
dc.description.abstractWhile historically Australia has been a major exporter of food commodities and is generally considered to be "food secure", our inter-disciplinary modelling of Australia's food system and contemporary diet demonstrates that Australia is likely to become a net importer of key nutritious foods such as nuts and dairy if it continues along its current policy path. Furthermore, this occurs in the context of accelerating international debt, complete dependence on imported oil and declines in Gross Domestic Product per capita. Coupled with no reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, and increasing water deficits around many capital cities, these factors indicate increasing threats to Australia's food security. These strategic challenges arise from past and current policy choices and trends, including continued consumption of an unhealthy diet. Their effects are modelled for the coming decades using an innovative scenario simulation based on comprehensive accounts of physical processes in Australia's economy simulated in the Australian Stocks and Flows Framework. Our analysis further employed health and economic cost modelling based on burden of disease data, conservatively demonstrating that productivity and health costs of unhealthy diets would be at least three billion Australian dollars for the 2025 Australian population if we were to continue on this trajectory.en_AU
dc.description.sponsorshipLawrence, Ryan, Friel, Turner, Larsen, Ogilvy, Moodie, Candy, James and Ananthapavan are researchers within an Australian Research Council Linkage Project, ‘Modelling policy interventions to protect Australia’s food security in the face of environmental sustainability challenges’ (LP120100168). Lawrence, Moodie and Ananthapavan are researchers within a NHMRC Centre for Research Excellence in Obesity Policy and Food Systems (APP1041020).en_AU
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen_AU
dc.identifier.issn0959-6526en_AU
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/229988
dc.language.isoen_AUen_AU
dc.publisherElsevieren_AU
dc.relationhttp://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/LP120100168en_AU
dc.relationhttp://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1041020en_AU
dc.rights© 2017 Elsevier Ltd.en_AU
dc.sourceJournal of Cleaner Productionen_AU
dc.subjectFood securityen_AU
dc.subjectClimate changeen_AU
dc.subjectPolicyen_AU
dc.subjectScenario modellingen_AU
dc.subjectEconomyen_AU
dc.subjectDietary patternen_AU
dc.subjectHealthen_AU
dc.subjectNutritionen_AU
dc.titleSquandering Australia's food security-The environmental and economic costs of our unhealthy diet and the policy Path We're Onen_AU
dc.typeJournal articleen_AU
dcterms.dateAccepted2017-07-08
local.bibliographicCitation.lastpage1599en_AU
local.bibliographicCitation.startpage1581en_AU
local.contributor.affiliationTurner, Graham Mark, University of Melbourneen_AU
local.contributor.affiliationLarsen, Kirsten, University of Melbourneen_AU
local.contributor.affiliationCandy, Seona, University of Melbourneen_AU
local.contributor.affiliationOgilvy, Sue, College of Science, ANUen_AU
local.contributor.affiliationAnanthapavan, Jaithri, Deakin Universityen_AU
local.contributor.affiliationMoodie, Marjory, Deakin Universityen_AU
local.contributor.affiliationJames, Sarah, College of Asia and the Pacific, ANUen_AU
local.contributor.affiliationFriel, Sharon, College of Asia and the Pacific, ANUen_AU
local.contributor.affiliationRyan, Chris, University of Melbourneen_AU
local.contributor.affiliationLawrence, Mark, Deakin Universityen_AU
local.contributor.authoremailu4162881@anu.edu.auen_AU
local.contributor.authoruidOgilvy, Sue, u4897854en_AU
local.contributor.authoruidJames, Sarah, u4088252en_AU
local.contributor.authoruidFriel, Sharon, u4162881en_AU
local.description.embargo2099-12-31
local.description.notesImported from ARIESen_AU
local.identifier.absfor111799 - Public Health and Health Services not elsewhere classifieden_AU
local.identifier.absseo920499 - Public Health (excl. Specific Population Health) not elsewhere classifieden_AU
local.identifier.ariespublicationu4485658xPUB1623en_AU
local.identifier.citationvolume195en_AU
local.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.07.072en_AU
local.identifier.scopusID2-s2.0-85024881643
local.identifier.thomsonID000440390900134
local.identifier.uidSubmittedByu4485658en_AU
local.publisher.urlhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/en_AU
local.type.statusPublished Versionen_AU

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