Sign restrictions in structural vector autoregressions: a critical review

Date

2011-12

Authors

Fry, Renée
Pagan, Adrian

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

American Economic Association

Abstract

The paper provides a review of the estimation of structural vector autoregressions with sign restrictions. It is shown how sign restrictions solve the parametric identification problem present in structural systems but leaves the model identification problem unresolved. A market and a macro model are used to illustrate these points. Suggestions have been made on how to find a unique model. These are reviewed. An analysis is provided of whether one can recover the true impulse responses and what difficulties might arise when one wishes to use the impulse responses found with sign restrictions. (JEL C32, C51, E12)

Description

Keywords

multiple or simultaneous equation models, time-series models, dynamic treatment effect models, model construction and estimation, general aggregative models, Keynes, Keynesian, post-Keynesian

Citation

Source

Journal of Economic Literature 49.4 (2011): 938-960

Type

Journal article

Book Title

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