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Are China and the US Falling into the Thucydides Trap?

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Authors

Van Ness, Peter

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Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University

Abstract

Building his analysis on Thucydides’ study of the Peloponnesian War, Graham Allison and his colleagues have studied the classic international relations problem of military conflict between a rising power and an established dominant power. They identified 16 such situations over the past 500 years, and found that 12 of them ended in war — painting a gloomy picture of the future of US–China relations.

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East Asia Forum

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Open access via publisher website
Open access via publisher website

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