Nuclear Arms Control: A Realistic Global Agenda
Date
2014
Authors
Evans, Gareth
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Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University
Abstract
The optimism of 2009–10 is fading, and political momentum is faltering, on new nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation measures. To
re-energize the global arms control debate, it is
important that advocates for change spell out
action agendas which are realistic and capable
of being embraced by all relevant players – not
only civil society organizations, but the major
nuclear-armed states and other significant state
actors capable of applying peer group pressure.
Disarmament advocacy, while continuing to
stress complete elimination as the objective,
should recognize the complex dynamics of particular
pair relationships (including US–Russia,
US–China, and India–Pakistan), and focus in the
short and medium term on the “minimization”
agenda: stabilization of, and major further reductions
in, nuclear weapons stockpiles; dramatic
reductions in weapons deployment and
launch readiness; and universal acceptance of
“No First Use” doctrine. Non-proliferation efforts
need to focus not only on current break-out risks
like Iran, but strengthening NPT compliance
mechanisms, further building non-NPT treaties
and arrangements like export controls, and winning
industry and government support for proliferation-re
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