How to predict future migration in Europe: different methods explained and compared
Date
2022
Authors
de Valk, Helga
Acostamadiedo, Eduardo
Guan, Qing
Melde, Susanne
Mooyaart, Jarl
Sohst, Rhea Ravenna
Tjaden, Jasper
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Springer
Abstract
How many people will likely move in the decades to come? And where will they come from and move to? Policymakers worldwide have a keen interest in these questions. While long-term developments in international migration patterns are relevant for the demography and economy of a country, sudden flows—for example, in the case of humanitarian emergencies—pose institutional challenges regarding reception capacities, health systems, housing, education, and training programs amongst others. This chapter reviews key concepts related to migration scenarios and forecasting. It outlines different qualitative and quantitative approaches, compares different studies, and discusses the potential use of various techniques for academic and policy audiences.
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Book chapter
Book Title
Introduction to Migration Studies: An Interactive Guide to the Literatures on Migration and Diversity
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Open Access
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
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