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Detecting a global warming signal in hemispheric temperature series: a structural time series analysis

Stern, David; Kaufmann, R K


Non-stationary time series such as global and hemispheric temperatures, greenhouse gas concentrations, solar irradiance, and anthropogenic sulfate aerosols, may contain stochastic trends (the simplest stochastic trend is a random walk) which, due to their unique patterns, can act as a signal of the influence of other variables on the series in question. Two or more series may share a common stochastic trend, which indicates that either one series causes the behavior of the other or that there...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2000
Type: Journal article
Source: Climatic Change
DOI: 10.1023/A:1005672231474


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