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Predicting Super Spreading Events during the 2003 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Epidemics in Hong Kong and Singapore

Li, Yuguo; Yu, Ignatius T S; Xu, Pengcheng; Lee, James L; Wong, Tze-wai; Ooi, Peng Lim; Sleigh, Adrian


One of the intriguing characteristics of the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemics was the occurrence of super spreading events (SSEs). Here, the authors report the results of identifying the occurrence of SSEs in the Hong Kong and Singapore epidemics using mathematical and statistical analysis. Their predicted occurrence of SSEs agreed well with the reported occurrence of all seven super spreaders in the two cities. Additional unidentified SSEs were also found to exist. It...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2004
Type: Journal article
Source: American Journal of Epidemiology
DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwh273


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