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Development of a predictive model for Ross River Virus disease in Brisbane, Australia

Hu, Wenbiao; Nicholls, Neville; Lindsay, Michael; Dale, Pat; McMichael, Anthony; Mackenzie, John S; Tong, S


This paper describes the development of an empirical model to forecast epidemics of Ross River virus (RRV) disease using the multivariate seasonal auto-regressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) technique in Brisbane, Australia. We obtained computerized data on notified RRV disease cases, climate, high tide, and population sizes in Brisbane for the period 1985-2001 from the Queensland Department of Health, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, the Queensland Department of Transport, and...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2004
Type: Journal article
Source: American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene


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