US-China relations after 11 September: a long engagement or marriage of convenience?

Abstract

This article traces the evolution of US - Sino relations in the period since the 11 September attacks on the World Trade Centre and the Pentagon. It argues that the resultant, largely unanticipated rapprochement that has occurred between Beijing and Washington is actually more robust than many analysts have thus far been prepared to acknowledge. While conflictual elements will remain a feature of this all-important bilateral relationship, the article contends that the current 'honeymoon period' in US - Sino relations is likely to persist for some time yet, largely because it is underwritten by a deeper combination of economic, political and strategic considerations. While recognising that it is both natural and necessary to contemplate the 'worst of times' that may still lie ahead in US - Sino relations, the article concludes that it is particularly important for Australian policymakers to acknowledge the potential for a prolongation of the post-11 September 'honeymoon' and to actively encourage this possibility as they contemplate alternative approaches to managing China's rise.