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Contributions of carbon cycle uncertainty to future climate projection spread

Huntingford, Chris; Lowe, J A; Booth, Ben B. B; Jones, Chris D; Harris, G R; Gohar, L K; Meir, Patrick


We have characterized the relative contributions to uncertainty in predictions of global warming amount by year 2100 in the C4MIP model ensemble (Friedlingstein et al., 2006) due to both carbon cycle process uncertainty and uncertainty in the physical climate properties of the Earth system. We find carbon cycle uncertainty to be important. On average the spread in transient climate response is around 40% of that due to the more frequently debated uncertainties in equilibrium climate sensitivity...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2009
Type: Journal article
Source: Tellus Series B- Chemical and Physical Meteorology
DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0889.2009.00414.x


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