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Prediction under uncertainty in reservoir modeling

Subbey, Sam; Christie, Michael; Sambridge, Malcolm


Reservoir simulation is routinely employed in the prediction of reservoir performance under different depletion and operating scenarios. Usually, a single history-matched model, conditioned to production data, is obtained. The model is then used to forecast future production profiles. Because the history match is non-unique, the forecast production profiles are therefore uncertain, although this uncertainty is not usually quantified. This paper presents a new approach for generating uncertain...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2004
Type: Journal article
Source: Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering
DOI: 10.1016/j.petrol.2004.02.011


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