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The benefit of modeling jumps in realized volatility for risk prediction: Evidence from Chinese mainland stocks

Liao, Yin

Description

Recent literature has focused on realized volatility models to predict financial risk. This paper studies the benefit of explicitly modeling jumps in this class of models for value at risk (VaR) prediction. Several popular realized volatility models are compared in terms of their VaR forecasting performances through a Monte Carlo study and an analysis based on empirical data of eight Chinese stocks. The results suggest that careful modeling of jumps in realized volatility models can largely...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2013
Type: Journal article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/74272
Source: Pacific-Basin Finance Journal
DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2013.01.002

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