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The Patron's Dilemma: The Dynamics of Foreign-Supported Democratization

McKoy, Michael K; Miller, Michael


We analyze an understudied mode of democratization in which the acquiescence of an autocratic regime's foreign ally, or patron, is pivotal to the success of a democratic movement. Although a democratic patron may prefer having democracy in its dependent allies, regime change threatens the economic and security benefits associated with the alliance. We formalize this dilemma through a repeated principal-agent model and demonstrate that the critical dimension is the patron's beliefs about the...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2012
Type: Journal article
Source: Journal of Conflict Resolution
DOI: 10.1177/0022002711431795


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