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Triviality Pursuit

Hajek, Alan

Description

The thesis that probabilities of conditionals are conditional probabilities has putatively been refuted many times by so-called 'triviality results', although it has also enjoyed a number of resurrections. In this paper I assault it yet again with a new such result. I begin by motivating the thesis and discussing some of the philosophical ramifications of its fluctuating fortunes. I will canvas various reasons, old and new, why the thesis seems plausible, and why we should care about its fate....[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2011
Type: Journal article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/69524
Source: Topoi: an international review of philosophy
DOI: 10.1007/s11245-010-9083-2

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