The thesis that probabilities of conditionals are conditional probabilities has putatively been refuted many times by so-called 'triviality results', although it has also enjoyed a number of resurrections. In this paper I assault it yet again with a new such result. I begin by motivating the thesis and discussing some of the philosophical ramifications of its fluctuating fortunes. I will canvas various reasons, old and new, why the thesis seems plausible, and why we should care about its fate....[Show more]
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|Source:||Topoi: an international review of philosophy|
|01_Hajek_Triviality_Pursuit_2011.pdf||251.34 kB||Adobe PDF||Request a copy|
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