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Population Pessimism and Economic Optimism in the Asian Giants

Golley, Jane; Tyers, Rod


The timing of China's and India's demographic transitions and the implications of alternative fertility scenarios are explored here using a global economic model incorporating full demographic behaviour and measures of dependency that accurately reflect the changing proportion of workers, rather than working-aged, in the total population. The baseline scenario confirms that demographic change in India may yield significant gains to future real per capita income, resulting from a continuing...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2012
Type: Journal article
Source: The World Economy
DOI: 10.1111/twec.12003


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