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Bayesian inference of uncertainties in precipitation-streamflow modeling in a snow affected catchment

Koskela, Jarkko J; Croke, Barry; Koivusalo, H.; Jakeman, Anthony; Kokkonen, T.


Bayesian inference is used to study the effect of precipitation and model structural uncertainty on estimates of model parameters and confidence limits of predictive variables in a conceptual rainfall-runoff model in the snow-fed Rudbck catchment (142 ha) in southern Finland. The IHACRES model is coupled with a simple degree day model to account for snow accumulation and melt. The posterior probability distribution of the model parameters is sampled by using the Differential Evolution Adaptive...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2012
Type: Journal article
Source: Water Resources Research
DOI: 10.1029/2011WR011773
Access Rights: Open Access


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