Multiple Biomarkers Including Cardiac Troponins T and I Measured by High-Sensitivity Assays, as Predictors of Long-Term Mortality in Patients With Chronic Renal Failure Who Underwent Dialysis

Abstract

There is a high cardiac mortality in patients on long-term renal dialysis. No studies have reported long-term outcomes relating to both high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) in these patients. Patients who underwent long-term dialysis at the Canberra Hospital had blood samples collected for both cardiac and other biomarkers. Samples were stored at -80°C until analysis. Mortality data were collected at 5 years, and univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify which biomarkers were predictive of mortality at 5 years. After multivariate analysis, albumin, C-reactive protein (CRP), and hs-cTnT remained independently predictive of all-cause mortality, with hs-cTnT having the highest hazard ratio. If hs-cTnT was excluded from the analysis, then hs-cTnI was independently predictive of mortality. For hs-cTnT, for both genders, the ninety-ninth percentile, derived from a population with subjects with subclinical disease excluded, served as an excellent partition between survivors and nonsurvivors. Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis for hs-cTnT had area under the curve of 0.798 and for hs-cTnI of 0.774. Kaplan-Meier curves for the aggregation of albumin, CRP, and hs-cTnT showed a stronger predictive power with receiver-operating characteristic area under the curve of 0.805. The addition of echocardiographic data in an analysis of all patients who had an echocardiogram for clinical reasons (n = 105) did not alter the final observations in this subgroup. In conclusion, hs-cTnT retains a superior predictive power in a dialysis-dependent population for identifying those at risk for death and when aggregated with albumin and CRP also has substantial additive value for identifying mortality risk in a renal-dialysis population.