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A tool for simulating and communicating uncertainty when modelling species distributions under future climates

Gould, Susan F; Beeton, Nicholas J.; Harris, Rebecca M.B.; Hutchinson, Michael; Lechner, Alex M.; Porfirio, Luciana; Mackey, Brendan

Description

Tools for exploring and communicating the impact of uncertainty on spatial prediction are urgently needed, particularly when projecting species distributions to future conditions. We provide a tool for simulating uncertainty, focusing on uncertainty due to data quality. We illustrate the use of the tool using a Tasmanian endemic species as a case study. Our simulations provide probabilistic, spatially explicit illustrations of the impact of uncertainty on model projections. We also illustrate...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2014
Type: Journal article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/66677
Source: Ecology and Evolution
DOI: 10.1002/ece3.1319

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