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Future fertility in low fertility countries

Basten, Stuart; Sobotka, Tomáš; Zeman, Kryštof; Abbasi Shavazi, Mohammad; Adsera, Alicia; Van Bavel, Jan; Berghammer, Caroline; Choe, Minja Kim; Frejka, Tomas; Leridon, Henri; Mills, Melinda; Morgan, S. Philip; Rindfuss, Ronald; Rosero-Bixby, Louis; Rotkirch, Anna; Sanderson, Warren C.; Testa, Maria Rita; Thévenon, Olivier; Zhao, Zhongwei


This chapter concerns countries with currently low fertility. It presents and justifies assumptions for future fertility trajectories based on an overview of recent fertility changes in major low-fertility regions, a discussion of theoretical arguments, a review of factors contributing to fertility change and variation during the late phases of demographic transition, a global survey of experts, and an invited meeting of experts. The survey contains 184 expert assessments with forecasts of...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2014
Type: Book chapter
Book Title: World Population and Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century
DOI: /10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198703167.003.0003


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