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Integrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model

Abel, Guy J; Bijak, Jakub; Forster, Jonathon J; Raymer, James; Smith, Peter WF; Wong, Jackie S.T.

Description

Background: Population forecasts are widely used for public policy purposes. Methods to quantify the uncertainty in forecasts tend to ignore model uncertainty and to be based on a single model. Objective: In this paper, we use Bayesian time series models

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2013
Type: Journal article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/62380
Source: Demographic Research
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2013.29.43.

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