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A formal framework for scenario development in support of environmental decision-making

Mahmoud, Mohammed; Liu, Yuqiong; Hartmann, Holly; Stewart, Steven; Wagener, T; Semmens, David; Stewart, Robert; Gupta, Hoshin; Dominguez, Damian; Dominguez, Francina; Hulse, David; Letcher, Rebecca; Rashleigh, Brenda; Smith, Court; Street, Roger; Ticehurst, Jenifer Lyn; Twery, Mark; van Delden, Hedwig; Waldick, Ruth; White, Denis; Winter, Larry


Scenarios are possible future states of the world that represent alternative plausible conditions under different assumptions. Often, scenarios are developed in a context relevant to stakeholders involved in their applications since the evaluation of scenario outcomes and implications can enhance decision-making activities. This paper reviews the state-of-the-art of scenario development and proposes a formal approach to scenario development in environmental decision-making. The discussion of...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2009
Type: Journal article
Source: Environmental Modelling and Software
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2008.11.010


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