Assessing the impact of land use change on hydrology by ensemble modeling (LUCHEM) III: Scenario analysis
Huisman, J.A.; Breuer, L; Bormann, H; Bronstert, A; Croke, Barry; Frede, H; Graff, T; Hubrechts, L; Jakeman, Anthony; Kite, G; Lanini, J; Leavesley, G; Lettenmaier, D P; Lindstrom, G; Seibert, J; Sivapalan, Murugesu; Viney, Neil; Willems, P
An ensemble of 10 hydrological models was applied to the same set of land use change scenarios. There was general agreement about the direction of changes in the mean annual discharge and 90% discharge percentile predicted by the ensemble members, although a considerable range in the magnitude of predictions for the scenarios and catchments under consideration was obvious. Differences in the magnitude of the increase were attributed to the different mean annual actual evapotranspiration rates...[Show more]
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|Source:||Advances in Water Resources|
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