Skip navigation
Skip navigation

Prediction of the probability of large fires in the Sydney region of south-eastern Australia using fire weather

Bradstock, Ross; Cohn, J S; Gill, A Malcom; Bedward, Michael; Lucas, C

Description

The probability of large-fire (<1000 ha) ignition days, in the Sydney region, was examined using historical records. Relative influences of the ambient and drought components of the Forest Fire Danger Index (FFDI) on large fire ignition probability were explored using Bayesian logistic regression. The preferred models for two areas (Blue Mountains and Central Coast) were composed of the sum of FFDI (Drought Factor, DF ≤ 1) (ambient component) and DF as predictors. Both drought and ambient...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2009
Type: Journal article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/53828
Source: International Journal of Wildland Fire
DOI: 10.1071/WF08133

Download

File Description SizeFormat Image
01_Bradstock_Prediction_of_the_probability_2009.pdf402.08 kBAdobe PDF    Request a copy


Items in Open Research are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.

Updated:  23 August 2018/ Responsible Officer:  University Librarian/ Page Contact:  Library Systems & Web Coordinator